hjfcghdfg
0x596ba4da1fb1274d0367e3e71bf9e0ea593aa410
- Realised P&L
- $379.51
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $531.45
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? · No | 0.780 | 0.770 | $277.20 | −$3.60 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.727 | 0.848 | $254.25 | +$36.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$240.00at 0.600US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
- +$71.20at 0.911Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$64.61at 0.640Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$15.70at 0.749Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
- +$-12.00at 0.650Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 07:50 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.741 | $222.30 |
| 06-08 01:34 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.727 | $218.10 |
| 05-15 07:51 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $518.00 |
| 04-27 11:54 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.911 | $728.80 |
| 04-17 02:46 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $448.00 |
| 03-30 07:32 | US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | BUY | 0.6 | $360.00 |
| 03-23 06:22 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | SELL | 0.63 | $377.99 |