TonnyPusher
0x59686141128448f103be06611e95d84bd39f1d08
- Realised P&L
- $94.68
- Volume
- $13.3k
- Markets traded
- 130
- Open portfolio
- $82.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded130
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.125 | $29.12 | +$7.83 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.465 | $19.79 | −$0.21 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.225 | $15.70 | −$14.30 |
| Critical Discord Incident by September 30? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.135 | $12.15 | +$3.15 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.269 | 0.086 | $4.97 | −$10.47 |
| Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.114 | $0.80 | −$2.70 |
| Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.001 | $0.06 | −$19.95 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.92 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$150.56at 0.059Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
- +$36.99at 0.180Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$35.58at 0.587Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$26.70at 0.014Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 61m and 67m?
- +$22.90at 0.490Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 23:26 | Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999971 | $30.00 |
| 08-09 10:32 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.4699999929 | $20.00 |
| 08-05 12:05 | Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.579999994 | $25.00 |
| 07-11 11:57 | Erling Haaland: 4+ shots | BUY | 0.48 | $15.00 |
| 07-10 18:45 | Charles De Ketelaere: 3+ shots | BUY | 0.2209985139 | $5.00 |
| 07-10 16:39 | Dani Olmo: 2+ shots | BUY | 0.5699999966 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 09:21 | Achraf Hakimi: 2+ shots | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 23:41 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.27 | $13.50 |
| 07-08 23:40 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.94 |
| 07-08 23:36 | Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $2.00 |
| 07-08 23:33 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.024 | $1.92 |
| 07-07 19:35 | Breel Embolo: 2+ shots | BUY | 0.5955334926 | $20.00 |
| 07-07 15:54 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.14 | $9.80 |
| 07-07 11:53 | Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026? | BUY | 0.629999988 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 11:52 | Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026? | BUY | 0.8856361144 | $20.00 |