LongShortNeutral
0x596791326c299873909b51d0e64f409fab7e22c6
- Realised P&L
- $-27.6k
- Volume
- $230.4k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration29.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes | 0.219 | 0.040 | $1.3k | −$5.9k |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? · Yes | 0.388 | 0.075 | $668.36 | −$2.8k |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$761.07 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? · Yes | 0.361 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.7k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes | 0.324 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.4k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$91.00at 0.650Trump transgender sports ban?
- +$57.26at 0.857Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
- +$42.85at 0.800Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?
- +$36.00at 0.850Israel strikes Iranian oil in 2024?
- +$27.00at 0.820Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-23 06:02 | Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.3612570504 | $8.7k |
| 01-20 23:24 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.21083065 | $10.5k |
| 01-10 02:42 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.3236245528 | $11.0k |
| 01-10 02:20 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0375877758 | $761.09 |
| 01-10 01:49 | US strike on Mexico by December 31? | BUY | 0.3879686357 | $3.5k |
| 01-10 00:56 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.2187231713 | $18.1k |
| 01-09 21:47 | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | SELL | 0.97138856 | $242.85 |
| 01-09 21:45 | Will Biden finish his term? | SELL | 0.983 | $216.26 |
| 11-10 19:27 | Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days? | BUY | 0.82 | $123.00 |
| 11-10 19:06 | Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader? | BUY | 0.7 | $140.00 |
| 11-10 18:53 | Will Trump nominate Marco Rubio for Secretary of State? | BUY | 0.79 | $102.70 |
| 11-10 18:29 | Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024? | BUY | 0.81 | $105.30 |
| 11-10 18:25 | GPT-5 released in 2024? | BUY | 0.93875 | $206.53 |
| 11-10 18:13 | Will JD Vance be the next Senate Majority Leader? | BUY | 0.0111952042 | $26.87 |
| 11-10 18:07 | Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |