PolyBot

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Traders

TruePoliticsMan

0x596114d753a0bd91fa8f4212b5132da36de4e1c2

Realised P&L
$-317.66
Volume
$21.2k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$10.68

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Obama arrested before 2027? · Yes0.1170.025$10.68−$39.32
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$40.00
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? · No0.2200.000$0.00−$15.00
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$70.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Yes0.0960.000$0.00−$58.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$50.00
Bill Clinton charged by January 31? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the US strike Syria next? · Yes0.1660.000$0.00−$5.00
Netanyahu out by March 31? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00−$20.00
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$71.00
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$11.00
Bill Clinton in jail by January 31? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-13 10:50Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?BUY0.0141737428$11.00
06-13 10:46Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.5799999959$40.00
04-26 11:30Obama arrested before 2027?BUY0.117067555$50.00
04-01 13:35Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY0.0360000002$8.00
03-27 09:39Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?SELL0.012$6.71
03-16 15:14Netanyahu out by March 31?BUY0.032$20.00
03-11 16:55Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.05$50.00
03-11 16:55Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY0.1299999979$50.00
03-11 16:33Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?BUY0.2199999891$15.00
02-18 23:19US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?BUY0.0899999985$51.00
02-18 23:19US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?SELL0.021$45.65
02-18 23:17US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?BUY0.1199999986$70.00
02-18 23:16US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?SELL0.0476331716$68.05
02-18 23:15US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.2199999949$30.00
02-18 23:14US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?BUY0.089999996$20.00