0x5957373c811a1e8762D9fC40610aBd0997B69137-1733830384544
0x5957373c811a1e8762d9fc40610abd0997b69137
- Realised P&L
- $17.49
- Volume
- $7.0k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $21.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on October 8? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $21.93 | +$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.65at 0.860German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?
- +$0.92at 0.991Will Domantas Sabonis lead the NBA in Rebounds?
- +$0.58at 0.994Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?
- +$0.39at 0.995Will Karla Sofía Gascón win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?
- +$0.33at 0.997Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 21:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $21.90 |
| 10-08 12:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $21.00 |
| 10-04 04:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9929999823 | $20.42 |
| 10-02 13:55 | Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.997 | $25.00 |
| 09-28 11:07 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September? | BUY | 0.995773665 | $22.00 |
| 09-25 10:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.9939999997 | $12.30 |
| 09-25 06:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 26? | BUY | 0.994 | $14.00 |
| 09-22 17:31 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $16.00 |
| 09-20 19:44 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $17.00 |
| 09-13 03:18 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.993 | $21.00 |
| 09-04 01:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 5? | BUY | 0.9979999695 | $26.00 |
| 09-01 13:45 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $17.30 |
| 08-30 07:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August? | BUY | 0.9969999769 | $20.00 |
| 08-25 20:45 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $26.88 |
| 08-24 12:25 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $22.60 |