0x594f532a65f385a2B770277e1d9372d829E04295-1774451334183
0x594f532a65f385a2b770277e1d9372d829e04295
- Realised P&L
- $-6.0k
- Volume
- $858.8k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $138.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win AFCON 2027? · Yes | 0.235 | 0.360 | $138.69 | +$48.04 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.00 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$115.00 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes | 0.377 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$245.85 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$591.42at 0.457Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
- +$580.20at 0.775Will France win on 2026-06-30?
- +$480.30at 0.751Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
- +$360.37at 0.726Will United States win on 2026-07-01?
- +$292.29at 0.602Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 00:36 | Will Morocco win AFCON 2027? | BUY | 0.245017968 | $30.00 |
| 09-30 23:08 | Will Morocco win AFCON 2027? | BUY | 0.2321428549 | $20.00 |
| 09-30 06:09 | Will Morocco win AFCON 2027? | BUY | 0.2399999981 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 06:07 | Will Morocco win AFCON 2027? | BUY | 0.24 | $24.00 |
| 07-14 17:40 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.3774999991 | $245.85 |
| 07-12 05:52 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | SELL | 0.42 | $264.54 |
| 07-12 03:34 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.4299999992 | $270.84 |
| 07-12 03:06 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | SELL | 0.37 | $53.28 |
| 07-12 02:57 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | SELL | 0.0217937309 | $65.97 |
| 07-12 02:51 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | SELL | 0.0345051073 | $39.22 |
| 07-12 02:50 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.32 | $46.08 |
| 07-12 02:48 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | SELL | 0.0325 | $3.25 |
| 07-12 02:40 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.046906214 | $200.00 |
| 07-12 02:40 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | SELL | 0.48 | $388.78 |
| 07-11 22:06 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5699999997 | $461.68 |