0x594976Fa69f659C48783CC98362f9A4555A7E6ce-1779141980974
0x594976fa69f659c48783cc98362f9a4555a7e6ce
- Realised P&L
- $-91.89
- Volume
- $739.45
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $57.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel Election: Likud or Yashar in Government? · Likud | 0.830 | 0.480 | $57.82 | −$42.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.40at 0.711Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
- +$0.64at 0.887Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
- +$0.61at 0.942Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 22, 2026?
- +$0.48at 0.981Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
- +$-25.73at 0.597Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 16:04 | Israel Election: Likud or Yashar in Government? | BUY | 0.8301318121 | $100.00 |
| 06-05 15:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $25.00 |
| 06-05 15:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | BUY | 0.5489021923 | $25.00 |
| 05-25 21:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999988 | $25.00 |
| 05-21 14:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.579999994 | $25.00 |
| 05-21 14:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 05-21 13:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6957420529 | $25.00 |
| 05-21 13:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.061948657 | $25.00 |
| 05-21 13:47 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999981 | $10.00 |