jfhu15
0x5937d8b3a7eb9417e4778f26daecc5af96fdd295
- Realised P&L
- $-287.26
- Volume
- $10.5k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $41.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cambria FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No | 0.979 | 0.959 | $23.02 | −$0.48 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No | 0.955 | 0.977 | $18.41 | +$0.41 |
| Blue Jackets vs. Devils · Devils | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$288.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.98at 0.940Xi Jinping out in 2025?
- +$0.99at 0.981Will XRP dip to $1.50 in August?
- +$0.47at 0.680Will 2024 be the hottest year on record?
- +$0.41at 0.879Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
- +$0.24at 0.989Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-05 03:39 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.00 |
| 03-05 03:39 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | BUY | 0.9779999957 | $3.68 |
| 03-05 03:39 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | BUY | 0.9729999937 | $4.00 |
| 03-05 03:38 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | BUY | 0.8789999666 | $3.00 |
| 03-05 03:38 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BUY | 0.9549999987 | $18.00 |
| 10-11 09:16 | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | BUY | 0.94 | $31.02 |
| 09-23 07:13 | Will XRP reach $5.00 in September? | BUY | 0.998 | $52.30 |
| 01-06 10:29 | Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.995 | $47.30 |
| 01-06 10:28 | Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.9849999941 | $1.66 |
| 01-06 10:28 | Will Stuttgart win the UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.992 | $46.73 |
| 12-29 14:26 | Will Stuttgart win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.995 | $46.88 |
| 12-29 14:26 | Will Dinamo Zagreb win the UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.994 | $46.88 |
| 11-24 02:45 | Will Dinamo Zagreb win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.995 | $46.93 |
| 10-25 03:35 | Will a candidate from another party win New Jersey Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.998 | $30.00 |
| 10-25 03:34 | Will a Democrat win New Jersey Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.00 |