bondor
0x59368957544eaf2e921b0b9b17471eadd30d0b7b
- Realised P&L
- $9.0k
- Volume
- $2.26M
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $128.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $112.7k | +$56.36 |
| Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? · Yes | 0.998 | 0.998 | $16.1k | −$12.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.985US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$958.25at 0.993Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
- +$942.66at 0.993Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
- +$795.11at 0.890Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
- +$540.97at 0.996MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 13:46 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.4k |
| 09-14 15:50 | Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | BUY | 0.9986528109 | $5.4k |
| 09-09 17:30 | Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1150? | BUY | 0.9754811888 | $1.7k |
| 09-09 17:09 | Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.8k |
| 08-29 07:40 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $26.2k |
| 08-27 22:09 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.1k |
| 08-27 08:13 | Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $710.88 |
| 08-27 08:11 | Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.9957148168 | $37.50 |
| 08-26 18:31 | Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $211.36 |
| 08-26 18:27 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $3.3k |
| 08-26 18:25 | Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.8k |
| 08-26 18:24 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $888.33 |
| 08-26 11:21 | Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $50.85 |
| 08-26 11:21 | Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.8k |
| 08-26 11:20 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $36.1k |