brauerralph25
0x592c52e024903eb9f129db523256cbc0061a00ba
- Realised P&L
- $-19.71
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $82.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)9.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the AL-07 House seat? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.980 | $19.60 | +$1.00 |
| Will the Republican Party win the AZ-09 House seat? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.945 | $18.90 | +$1.30 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-45 House seat? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.920 | $18.40 | +$1.20 |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-05 House seat? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.910 | $18.20 | +$0.80 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? · Yes | 0.785 | 1.000 | $2.55 | +$0.55 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-05 House seat? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.085 | $1.70 | −$0.70 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-45 House seat? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.075 | $1.50 | −$1.10 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-09 House seat? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.037 | $0.75 | −$1.45 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-16 House seat? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.019 | $0.38 | −$0.82 |
| Will the Republican Party win the AL-07 House seat? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.005 | $0.11 | −$1.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.76at 0.560Knicks vs. Raptors
- +$0.55at 0.730Bucks vs. Heat
- +$0.36at 0.820Nets vs. Hawks
- +$0.15at 0.870Kings vs. Lakers
- +$0.00at 0.080Will the Democratic Party win the FL-08 House seat?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-29 17:56 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 03-29 16:23 | Will the Republican Party win the CA-45 House seat? | BUY | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 03-29 16:23 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-45 House seat? | BUY | 0.86 | $17.20 |
| 03-29 16:23 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-45 House seat? | SELL | 0.84 | $16.80 |
| 03-29 16:23 | Will the Republican Party win the CA-45 House seat? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 03-29 16:22 | Will the Republican Party win the CA-16 House seat? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 03-29 16:22 | Will the Republican Party win the AZ-09 House seat? | BUY | 0.88 | $17.60 |
| 03-29 16:22 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.40 |
| 03-29 16:22 | Will the Republican Party win the FL-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.87 | $17.40 |
| 03-29 16:22 | Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-09 House seat? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 03-29 16:22 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 03-29 16:22 | Will the Democratic Party win the AL-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.93 | $18.60 |
| 03-29 16:22 | Will the Republican Party win the AL-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 03-29 16:22 | Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-09 House seat? | SELL | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 03-29 16:22 | Will the Republican Party win the AZ-09 House seat? | SELL | 0.87 | $17.40 |