Brown-Weasel-Coffee
0x5927a00e9b7669f80e358535b8036f0cb47193dd
- Realised P&L
- $0.98
- Volume
- $75.0k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $127.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Georgia win on 2026-10-05? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.285 | $127.03 | −$2.23 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.922 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.1k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.675Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
- +$484.01at 0.920Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$482.17at 0.453Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
- +$416.56at 0.893Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
- +$367.10at 0.882Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 15:31 | Will Georgia win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.29 | $129.26 |
| 07-29 10:51 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.756 | $755.98 |
| 07-26 03:52 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.786 | $553.01 |
| 07-19 18:56 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY | 0.95 | $400.00 |
| 07-19 18:54 | Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.928 | $375.48 |
| 07-19 18:54 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.98 | $445.89 |
| 07-19 10:44 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | SELL | 0.85 | $2.6k |
| 07-18 06:16 | Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.925 | $1.9k |
| 07-15 00:43 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | BUY | 0.7870126227 | $56.11 |
| 07-06 10:47 | Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.0080026331 | $15.20 |
| 06-26 13:05 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $343.20 |
| 06-26 13:04 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7894661922 | $221.84 |
| 06-26 13:04 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7704876627 | $39.66 |
| 06-26 13:04 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $58.02 |
| 06-22 04:45 | Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.6314124948 | $469.06 |