0x59214dd32fb262ba8be725de05ed7a98da979b66
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $18.1k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.241 | 0.095 | $644.86 | −$991.21 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.319 | 0.120 | $302.59 | −$497.40 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.173 | 0.075 | $139.56 | −$182.43 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.237 | 0.130 | $115.10 | −$94.90 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.106 | 0.055 | $62.22 | −$57.78 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.038 | $37.40 | −$5.60 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes | 0.267 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$220.00 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes | 0.296 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$350.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$608.96at 0.328Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$247.23at 0.756Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 19:53 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999981 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 19:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999997 | $20.00 |
| 09-16 19:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $250.00 |
| 09-16 19:35 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999998 | $22.00 |
| 09-16 19:35 | Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0381825124 | $18.00 |
| 09-15 21:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1483214949 | $42.00 |
| 09-15 15:05 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2286282298 | $50.00 |
| 09-15 15:05 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1500071541 | $50.00 |
| 08-28 22:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1695633626 | $434.94 |
| 08-28 22:22 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.109999999 | $100.00 |
| 08-28 22:22 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.165717806 | $200.00 |
| 08-28 22:22 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $150.00 |
| 08-28 22:19 | Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $25.00 |
| 08-28 22:18 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.089999997 | $25.00 |
| 07-28 00:22 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999988 | $137.00 |