PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x59214dd32fb262ba8be725de05ed7a98da979b66

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$18.1k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration71.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2410.095$644.86$991.21
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3190.120$302.59$497.40
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1730.075$139.56$182.43
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2370.130$115.10$94.90
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1060.055$62.22$57.78
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0440.038$37.40$5.60
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.2670.000$0.00$220.00
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.2960.000$0.00$350.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 19:53Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2399999981$10.00
09-16 19:53Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999997$20.00
09-16 19:53Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$250.00
09-16 19:35Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999998$22.00
09-16 19:35Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0381825124$18.00
09-15 21:58Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1483214949$42.00
09-15 15:05Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2286282298$50.00
09-15 15:05Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1500071541$50.00
08-28 22:23Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1695633626$434.94
08-28 22:22Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.109999999$100.00
08-28 22:22Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.165717806$200.00
08-28 22:22Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.24$150.00
08-28 22:19Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.05$25.00
08-28 22:18Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.089999997$25.00
07-28 00:22Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3399999988$137.00