PolyBot

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Traders

0x59214dd32fb262ba8be725de05ed7a98da979b66

0x59214dd32fb262ba8be725de05ed7a98da979b66

Realised P&L
$266.27
Volume
$41.2k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$3.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration71.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.075$1.7k−$1.0k
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1690.116$865.73−$394.04
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.115$287.50+$37.50
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2140.175$208.60−$46.39
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1540.065$154.81−$212.18
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0320.028$56.90−$9.89
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1060.041$46.38−$73.61
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.165$27.50+$2.50
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.2670.000$0.00−$220.00
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.2960.000$0.00−$350.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 14:02Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$50.00
10-31 10:35Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1228909878$68.00
10-31 10:34Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$63.00
10-30 14:37Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$15.00
10-30 14:36Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$250.00
10-25 21:50Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$50.00
10-23 00:56Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$100.00
10-22 18:16Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1499999997$25.00
10-22 18:16Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999998$30.00
10-22 18:15Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$50.00
10-22 18:15Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0987053942$23.79
10-22 18:15Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0168858329$1.80
10-22 18:15Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.015916217$5.00
10-22 18:14Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0149625935$2.00
10-14 14:29Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0276043378$15.00