0x59214dd32fb262ba8be725de05ed7a98da979b66
0x59214dd32fb262ba8be725de05ed7a98da979b66
- Realised P&L
- $266.27
- Volume
- $41.2k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $3.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.075 | $1.7k | −$1.0k |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.169 | 0.116 | $865.73 | −$394.04 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.115 | $287.50 | +$37.50 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.214 | 0.175 | $208.60 | −$46.39 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.154 | 0.065 | $154.81 | −$212.18 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.028 | $56.90 | −$9.89 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.106 | 0.041 | $46.38 | −$73.61 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.165 | $27.50 | +$2.50 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes | 0.267 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$220.00 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes | 0.296 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$350.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$608.96at 0.328Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$247.23at 0.756Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 14:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $50.00 |
| 10-31 10:35 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1228909878 | $68.00 |
| 10-31 10:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $63.00 |
| 10-30 14:37 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $15.00 |
| 10-30 14:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $250.00 |
| 10-25 21:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $50.00 |
| 10-23 00:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $100.00 |
| 10-22 18:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999997 | $25.00 |
| 10-22 18:16 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999998 | $30.00 |
| 10-22 18:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $50.00 |
| 10-22 18:15 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0987053942 | $23.79 |
| 10-22 18:15 | Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0168858329 | $1.80 |
| 10-22 18:15 | Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.015916217 | $5.00 |
| 10-22 18:14 | Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0149625935 | $2.00 |
| 10-14 14:29 | Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0276043378 | $15.00 |