alternativ
0x5916b496305866be71dca6ab72251b8b33e9a3fe
- Realised P&L
- $298.96
- Volume
- $18.0k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $115.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration86.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$610.62at 0.312Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$81.66at 0.222Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$10.07at 0.729Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
- +$-1.00at 0.002Will Stelian Bujduveanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
- +$-2.00at 0.017Will Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 14:30 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.1021532 | $10.22 |
| 09-17 14:21 | Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.4989999791 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 08:09 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.4612536 | $46.13 |
| 09-07 09:18 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.4951531532 | $164.89 |
| 05-22 14:12 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.1116071429 | $50.00 |
| 05-22 11:51 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.3045819635 | $300.00 |
| 05-19 21:17 | Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.0283593946 | $2.00 |
| 05-19 21:17 | Will Cătălin Drulă be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 21:17 | Will Nicolae Ciucă be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 21:17 | Will Lucian Isar be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 21:16 | Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 21:16 | Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.0189999939 | $3.00 |
| 05-19 21:16 | Will Dragoș Pîslaru be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.0246305419 | $3.00 |
| 05-19 21:16 | Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.0229999926 | $3.00 |
| 05-18 07:29 | Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.007835257 | $12.00 |