simbich
0x5912794596cd3cc2f36605710fc1fcd6e5886f45
- Realised P&L
- $33.7k
- Volume
- $5.29M
- Markets traded
- 3,004
- Open portfolio
- $18.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,004
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China Open, Qualification: Jodie Burrage vs Mai Hontama · Mai Hontama | 0.999 | 1.000 | $15.0k | +$7.50 |
| China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai · Jiaqi Wang | 0.463 | 0.468 | $2.6k | +$22.61 |
| Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02? · No | 0.979 | 0.993 | $397.21 | +$5.60 |
| Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw? · Yes | 0.952 | 0.963 | $192.49 | +$2.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.8kat 0.257Bloomfield Hills: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur Gea
- +$5.1kat 0.133Set Handicap: Valentova (-1.5) vs Birrell (+1.5)
- +$4.8kat 0.015Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari
- +$2.8kat 0.368ITF Granby: Mao Mushika vs Cadence Brace
- +$2.1kat 0.518Zagreb: Completed Match: Yannick Alexandrescou vs Thanasi Kokkinakis
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 06:57 | China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai | BUY | 0.4649571176 | $1.1k |
| 09-21 20:39 | Genoa 2: Juan Martin vs Samuele Pieri | BUY | 0.999 | $120.37 |
| 09-21 10:35 | Porto: Completed Match: Cavalle-Reimers/Salden vs Isakova/Pereira | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-21 10:21 | Porto: Completed Match: Cavalle-Reimers/Salden vs Isakova/Pereira | BUY | 0.98 | $147.00 |
| 09-21 10:00 | Porto: Completed Match: Fick/McGiffin vs Brantmeier/Collins | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-19 20:00 | Will Bury Town FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.99 | $8.8k |
| 09-17 17:44 | Valencia: Alicia Herrero Linana vs Rebeka Masarova | BUY | 0.999 | $1.5k |
| 09-16 13:33 | Sao Paulo Open: Completed Match: Whitney Osuigwe vs Kaitlin Quevedo | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-16 12:48 | Ljubljana: Weronika Falkowska vs Laura Samson | BUY | 0.999 | $419.11 |
| 09-16 12:46 | Ljubljana: Weronika Falkowska vs Laura Samson | BUY | 0.995 | $99.50 |
| 09-16 10:45 | Valencia: Martina Trevisan vs Clara Burel | BUY | 0.49 | $10.06 |
| 09-15 16:45 | Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $0.35 |
| 09-15 10:55 | Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.8889810756 | $249.44 |
| 09-15 09:55 | Caldas da Rainha: Completed Match: Kylie Collins vs Katie Swan | BUY | 0.999 | $263.74 |
| 09-15 09:37 | Valencia: Clara Burel vs Maria Aran Teixido Garcia | BUY | 0.991 | $564.87 |