PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

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0x590ad8fa9986c66c72b455c89ddc01aee3883699

Realised P&L
$3.0k
Volume
$147.8k
Markets traded
81
Open portfolio
$149.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded81
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration30.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nous Research launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.7000.895$99.11+$21.59
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? · Yes0.2000.101$50.25$49.75
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1610.000$0.00$50.71
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1090.000$0.00$50.14
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$38.50
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0870.000$0.00$50.46
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00$50.60
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0530.000$0.00$50.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-03 09:47Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.03$14.59
09-03 09:46Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.04$1.40
09-03 09:46Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.05$4.77
09-03 09:46Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.06$19.78
07-27 18:00Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.08$29.70
07-05 09:44Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.061$28.06
07-02 14:11Will GRVT launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0255373989$2.05
06-28 16:45Will GRVT launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.022$1.76
06-28 16:45Will GRVT launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.021$1.65
06-11 15:15Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?SELL0.965$0.24
06-11 15:13Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.044$50.60
06-11 14:58Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.17$51.00
06-11 14:57Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.161$50.72
06-11 14:57Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.109$50.14
06-11 14:57Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.109$50.14