PolyBot

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Traders

tresfil

0x59058724bec33bcf4eb526060da47977991e723d

Realised P&L
$80.19
Volume
$22.9k
Markets traded
1,387
Open portfolio
$14.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,387
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0710.040$5.56$4.44
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0950.036$2.70$4.30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3100.195$2.52$1.48
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2300.095$2.07$2.93
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.5300.255$0.96$1.04
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? · Yes0.1800.040$0.21$0.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET · Down0.1100.000$0.00$1.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.3770.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET · Down0.1800.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET · Up0.3200.000$0.00$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? · Yes0.6480.000$0.00$2.00
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$1.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET · Down0.4790.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET · Down0.1900.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-16 22:59Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.429999828$1.00
07-16 22:58Will France win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.5$1.00
07-16 22:58Will France win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.5$1.00
07-14 01:07Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY0.29999982$1.00
07-10 04:54Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.5699998233$1.00
07-08 02:56Will England win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.5299998781$1.00
07-08 02:55Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
07-05 13:53Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.52$1.00
07-05 13:52Will France win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.63$1.00
07-05 13:51Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.429999828$1.00
07-05 13:51Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.719999856$1.00
07-05 13:50Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.3099998295$1.00
07-05 13:46Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.55$1.00
07-04 01:44Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.54$1.00
07-04 01:44Will France win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.8299999087$1.00