PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

metadenial

0x59041db82941ed86e45d803409ea0c9625338099

Realised P&L
$-526.01
Volume
$13.6k
Markets traded
567
Open portfolio
$10.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded567
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.7500.825$4.95+$0.45
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.1100.105$4.72$0.23
Government shutdown by October 1? · Yes0.0340.007$1.07$3.80
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? · Yes0.3400.130$0.18$0.29
Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 12PM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00$15.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET · Down0.5300.000$0.00$15.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6420.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET · Down0.8000.000$0.00$4.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$1.25
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET · Up0.4200.000$0.00$4.00
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? · Yes0.0960.000$0.00$42.77
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 7? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET · Up0.4990.000$0.00$17.47
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET · Down0.3800.000$0.00$5.00
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET · Up0.6500.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 16:00Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETBUY0.4099999984$10.00
09-06 10:24Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETSELL0.11$0.55
09-06 10:20Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETBUY0.49$2.45
09-06 10:00Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETBUY0.31$1.55
09-06 09:46Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETBUY0.35$1.75
09-06 08:46Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETBUY0.54$2.70
09-06 08:31Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETBUY0.69$3.45
09-06 07:26Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETBUY0.44$2.20
09-06 06:21Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETBUY0.66$3.30
09-06 05:51Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETBUY0.68$3.40
09-06 04:16Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETBUY0.51$2.55
09-05 23:59Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETBUY0.52$2.60
09-05 22:45Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETBUY0.65$3.25
09-05 22:05Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETBUY0.67$3.35
09-05 21:45Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETBUY0.42$2.10