metadenial
0x59041db82941ed86e45d803409ea0c9625338099
- Realised P&L
- $-526.01
- Volume
- $13.6k
- Markets traded
- 567
- Open portfolio
- $10.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded567
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.13at 0.559Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
- +$26.99at 0.190Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
- +$20.11at 0.646Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
- +$16.01at 0.407Will England win on 2026-07-05?
- +$15.67at 0.164Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First Half
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 16:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 10:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | SELL | 0.11 | $0.55 |
| 09-06 10:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 09-06 10:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 09-06 09:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 09-06 08:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 09-06 08:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | BUY | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 09-06 07:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 09-06 06:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | BUY | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 09-06 05:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 09-06 04:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 09-05 23:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 09-05 22:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | BUY | 0.65 | $3.25 |
| 09-05 22:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | BUY | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 09-05 21:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |