toosensitive
0x590343bf6d12d9f81655ae1f626f0820637efa49
- Realised P&L
- $-18.6k
- Volume
- $739.2k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $71.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.274 | 0.255 | $71.9k | −$5.3k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.948Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$780.31at 0.719Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
- +$-21.9kat 0.577Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 13:31 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7143173406 | $25.7k |
| 10-13 13:31 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $118.80 |
| 10-13 13:28 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $17.94 |