vam2025
0x59031f775ca0f6b458b68c235f13f0c161524f6d
- Realised P&L
- $-163.00
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $73.86
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.895 | $38.36 | +$8.36 |
| Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.070 | $16.67 | −$33.33 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.045 | $7.00 | −$13.00 |
| Discord IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.102 | $3.76 | −$16.24 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.029 | $3.17 | −$16.83 |
| Stripe IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.035 | $2.84 | −$37.16 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.065 | $2.07 | −$12.93 |
| TikTok sale announced in 2025? · No | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? · Yes | 0.673 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.85 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? · No | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.00at 0.240Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?
- +$14.66at 0.804Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?
- +$10.36at 0.620Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
- +$9.82at 0.747Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?
- +$8.21at 0.790Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-03 01:53 | SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.69 | $26.54 |
| 01-25 08:01 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | BUY | 0.6730700608 | $38.85 |
| 01-13 15:07 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? | BUY | 0.7468753435 | $28.97 |
| 01-13 15:04 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.4699999925 | $15.00 |
| 01-13 15:03 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999951 | $20.00 |
| 01-13 15:03 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.1799999928 | $20.00 |
| 01-02 12:24 | Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? | BUY | 0.6196659303 | $16.88 |
| 01-02 12:22 | Discord IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.5399999881 | $20.00 |
| 01-02 12:21 | SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.7799999979 | $30.00 |
| 01-02 12:21 | Stripe IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.5 | $40.00 |
| 01-02 12:19 | Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999968 | $50.00 |
| 01-02 12:12 | Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31? | BUY | 0.8036486561 | $60.00 |
| 12-04 05:41 | Will MicroStrategy announce holding 660k+ BTC by December 31? | SELL | 0.074575961 | $2.44 |
| 12-02 15:38 | Will MicroStrategy announce holding 660k+ BTC by December 31? | BUY | 0.6099999927 | $20.00 |
| 12-02 15:34 | Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025? | SELL | 0.978 | $53.26 |