PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

vam2025

0x59031f775ca0f6b458b68c235f13f0c161524f6d

Realised P&L
$-163.00
Volume
$3.1k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$73.86

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.7000.895$38.36+$8.36
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.070$16.67$33.33
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1300.045$7.00$13.00
Discord IPO before 2027? · Yes0.5400.102$3.76$16.24
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1800.029$3.17$16.83
Stripe IPO before 2027? · Yes0.5000.035$2.84$37.16
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.4700.065$2.07$12.93
TikTok sale announced in 2025? · No0.6600.000$0.00$40.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$40.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$5.00
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? · Yes0.6730.000$0.00$38.85
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? · No0.0700.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-03 01:53SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?SELL0.69$26.54
01-25 08:01Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?BUY0.6730700608$38.85
01-13 15:07Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?BUY0.7468753435$28.97
01-13 15:04Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.4699999925$15.00
01-13 15:03Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.1299999951$20.00
01-13 15:03Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.1799999928$20.00
01-02 12:24Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?BUY0.6196659303$16.88
01-02 12:22Discord IPO before 2027?BUY0.5399999881$20.00
01-02 12:21SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?BUY0.7799999979$30.00
01-02 12:21Stripe IPO before 2027?BUY0.5$40.00
01-02 12:19Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2099999968$50.00
01-02 12:12Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?BUY0.8036486561$60.00
12-04 05:41Will MicroStrategy announce holding 660k+ BTC by December 31?SELL0.074575961$2.44
12-02 15:38Will MicroStrategy announce holding 660k+ BTC by December 31?BUY0.6099999927$20.00
12-02 15:34Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?SELL0.978$53.26