visual1337
0x5901879b0e91410ef34182a80004fef4e3204293
- Realised P&L
- $-0.43
- Volume
- $117.09
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $2.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration41.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government? · Yes | 0.916 | 0.883 | $1.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government? · Yes | 0.974 | 0.916 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET · Up | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET · Down | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.84at 0.836Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
- +$1.11at 0.875Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
- +$1.01at 0.670Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
- +$0.28at 0.782Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
- +$0.06at 0.944Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 13:56 | Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government? | BUY | 0.9739999922 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 13:56 | Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government? | BUY | 0.9159999707 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 18:54 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 | SELL | 0.971 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 14:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:30 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:25 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:25 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:22 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:18 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | SELL | 0.96 | $1.03 |
| 09-21 14:17 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BUY | 0.9299998419 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:16 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.05 |
| 09-21 14:13 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:12 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 13:53 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 | BUY | 0.9689999889 | $2.00 |