2d84
0x58f609d898dcec2d65403be85600b1a5e5e906be
- Realised P&L
- $-92.42
- Volume
- $129.5k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $28.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.002 | $20.52 | −$116.27 |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs · Bilibili Gaming | 0.780 | 1.000 | $8.41 | +$1.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.35at 0.006Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$1.90at 0.962Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
- +$1.42at 0.974Will someone else be inaugurated?
- +$0.91at 0.505Liverpool wins the Premier League?
- +$0.21at 0.988Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 08:26 | LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | BUY | 0.7799999857 | $6.56 |
| 08-11 16:53 | Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $480 on August 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.08 |
| 08-11 16:51 | Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $480 on August 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.10 |
| 08-11 16:50 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $75 on August 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.10 |
| 08-11 16:48 | Will Google (GOOGL) close above $360 on August 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.05 |
| 08-11 16:48 | Will Google (GOOGL) close above $365 on August 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.10 |
| 08-11 16:46 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $285 on August 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.10 |
| 06-22 11:58 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 22? | BUY | 0.9989990592 | $1.03 |
| 06-22 11:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 22? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.03 |
| 06-22 11:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 22? | BUY | 0.9989990402 | $1.02 |
| 06-22 11:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 22? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.02 |
| 06-22 11:55 | Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 22? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.03 |
| 06-22 11:54 | Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 22? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.02 |
| 04-30 12:16 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.50 |
| 04-30 12:15 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.58 |