PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x58f1b91487e92Cf65D2843097196212d22D20211-1759786290359

0x58f1b91487e92cf65d2843097196212d22d20211

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$147.5k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$368.36

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration45.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? · Yes0.1700.275$254.29+$97.43
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0070.006$61.91$9.08
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0290.003$52.16$557.79
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00$15.00
Will the Bank of Brazil lower the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2360.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-15 21:19Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?BUY0.1696333946$156.86
06-09 11:04Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.0579999914$6.00
06-09 11:03Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.0575455187$9.00
05-23 01:38Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.03$83.14
05-18 21:06Will Neymar play in the World Cup?SELL0.03$6.86
05-18 20:55Will Neymar play in the World Cup?SELL0.1312463939$20.02
05-18 18:50Will Neymar play in the World Cup?BUY0.1442421148$55.00
05-15 14:55Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.0060783465$83.28
05-13 22:21Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0360830362$100.00
05-13 18:30Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.3024345433$111.56
05-11 18:49Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.002$6.03
05-06 16:08Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.005$40.23
05-01 19:32Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0043135603$28.90
05-01 19:13Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.004$60.19
04-29 22:59Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0199074304$40.00