niklaaaaas
0x58efb9f770eb477de82a1e30e6d2cdb4218fcceb
- Realised P&L
- $-6.31
- Volume
- $8.6k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $353.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? · Yes | 0.149 | 0.045 | $317.56 | −$733.41 |
| Will Germany win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.038 | $15.83 | −$5.97 |
| Will Germany win the UEFA EURO 2028? · Yes | 0.106 | 0.095 | $13.78 | −$1.67 |
| Will Greece win the UEFA EURO 2028? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.011 | $3.29 | +$1.29 |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.009 | $2.85 | −$0.89 |
| Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.59at 0.367Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance
- +$-15.19at 0.587Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 14:57 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.06 | $5.04 |
| 10-12 12:54 | Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.0124587667 | $3.74 |
| 10-12 12:45 | Will Germany win the UEFA EURO 2028? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 12:43 | Will Germany win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? | BUY | 0.0336717046 | $11.00 |
| 09-23 20:03 | Will Germany win the UEFA EURO 2028? | BUY | 0.11 | $10.45 |
| 09-23 20:02 | Will Greece win the UEFA EURO 2028? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.35 |
| 06-29 23:12 | Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5799999667 | $15.00 |
| 06-29 21:14 | Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |
| 06-09 21:25 | Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.012 | $3.00 |
| 05-27 20:13 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.15 | $51.00 |
| 05-21 20:32 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.052 | $5.46 |
| 05-20 19:47 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.15 | $270.00 |
| 05-20 06:36 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.15 | $210.00 |
| 05-19 21:43 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.15 | $499.95 |
| 05-18 16:25 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |