bf662
0x58ef5323cd80b0e6c8ad956e7082ffb87c3879c6
- Realised P&L
- $-41.47
- Volume
- $58.0k
- Markets traded
- 464
- Open portfolio
- $0.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded464
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.48at 0.041Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 3?
- +$18.00at 0.100Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 30?
- +$13.81at 0.208Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 3?
- +$8.72at 0.121Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on March 31?
- +$8.58at 0.149Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 02:28 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.104002 | $5.20 |
| 09-22 02:26 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.49 |
| 09-22 00:38 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.04 | $5.98 |
| 08-03 08:46 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.02 |
| 08-03 08:45 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 08-03 07:45 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 08-03 07:36 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 08-03 06:47 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.49 |
| 08-03 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 37°C or higher on August 3? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.14 |
| 08-03 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.41 | $4.10 |
| 08-03 02:59 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.40 |
| 08-03 02:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 06-27 07:13 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 27? | SELL | 0.034 | $0.34 |
| 06-27 05:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 27? | SELL | 0.0021 | $0.21 |
| 06-27 03:41 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 27? | BUY | 0.0292682648 | $1.00 |