PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

bf662

0x58ef5323cd80b0e6c8ad956e7082ffb87c3879c6

Realised P&L
$-41.47
Volume
$58.0k
Markets traded
464
Open portfolio
$0.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded464
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 22? · Yes0.0060.001$0.25$2.75
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0700.004$0.02$0.33
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 28? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$0.80
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 18? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$0.30
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026? · No0.9640.000$0.00$4.82
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 26? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$1.60
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 6? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 8? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 3? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 30? · Yes0.4820.000$0.00$4.82
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 14? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00$5.10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on March 25? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$1.80
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 21? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$1.70
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 16? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 3? · Yes0.4430.000$0.00$2.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 02:28Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 22?SELL0.104002$5.20
09-22 02:26Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 22?SELL0.01$1.49
09-22 00:38Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 22?BUY0.04$5.98
08-03 08:46Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 3?SELL0.002$0.02
08-03 08:45Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 3?SELL0.01$0.20
08-03 07:45Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 3?SELL0.001$0.02
08-03 07:36Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 3?SELL0.001$0.05
08-03 06:47Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 3?BUY0.06$0.49
08-03 06:01Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 37°C or higher on August 3?SELL0.01$0.14
08-03 05:00Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 3?SELL0.41$4.10
08-03 02:59Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 3?BUY0.04$0.40
08-03 02:30Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 3?SELL0.001$0.05
06-27 07:13Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 27?SELL0.034$0.34
06-27 05:01Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 27?SELL0.0021$0.21
06-27 03:41Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 27?BUY0.0292682648$1.00