rtfgtyhbg45
0x58ede37862b771f42528e900604b7cd00f25f4a3
- Realised P&L
- $-16.06
- Volume
- $5.7k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $2.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 1, 2026? · Yes | 0.900 | 1.000 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
| Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026? · Yes | 0.987 | 0.972 | $1.00 | −$0.02 |
| Will ETHGAS launch a token by March 31, 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| White Sox vs. Rays · Rays | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.31 |
| Mobile Legends Bang Bang: HomeBois vs Monster Vicious (BO5) · HomeBois | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by March 31? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.88at 0.510XRP Up or Down on May 27?
- +$1.39at 0.590Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by Sunday?
- +$1.17at 0.720Will Hyperliquid hit $50 in 2025?
- +$0.62at 0.860Will GPT-5 be released by March 31?
- +$0.32at 0.870Will another country launch a memecoin in February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 11:48 | Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026? | BUY | 0.9869992203 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 11:48 | Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026? | SELL | 0.972 | $0.97 |
| 07-28 11:47 | Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026? | BUY | 0.9859997614 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 11:47 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 11:45 | Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.997 | $69.93 |
| 07-28 11:45 | Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.995 | $63.93 |
| 07-27 05:40 | Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.998 | $70.00 |
| 07-27 05:39 | Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.996 | $64.00 |
| 05-25 05:33 | Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.997 | $91.27 |
| 05-25 05:32 | Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.991 | $49.90 |
| 05-18 07:43 | Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.997 | $91.00 |
| 05-18 07:43 | Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.996 | $90.64 |
| 05-18 07:43 | Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.997 | $91.00 |
| 05-18 07:41 | Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9929999999 | $50.00 |
| 04-23 04:54 | Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $207.00 |