PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

rtfgtyhbg45

0x58ede37862b771f42528e900604b7cd00f25f4a3

Realised P&L
$-16.06
Volume
$5.7k
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$2.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 1, 2026? · Yes0.9001.000$1.11+$0.11
Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026? · Yes0.9870.972$1.00$0.02
Will ETHGAS launch a token by March 31, 2026? · No0.6400.000$0.00$1.00
White Sox vs. Rays · Rays0.6900.000$0.00$1.31
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: HomeBois vs Monster Vicious (BO5) · HomeBois0.6300.000$0.00$1.00
Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by March 31? · Yes0.9100.000$0.00$1.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-28 11:48Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026?BUY0.9869992203$1.00
07-28 11:48Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026?SELL0.972$0.97
07-28 11:47Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026?BUY0.9859997614$1.00
07-28 11:47Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 1, 2026?BUY0.9$1.00
07-28 11:45Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?SELL0.997$69.93
07-28 11:45Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.995$63.93
07-27 05:40Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?BUY0.998$70.00
07-27 05:39Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.996$64.00
05-25 05:33Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.997$91.27
05-25 05:32Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.991$49.90
05-18 07:43Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.997$91.00
05-18 07:43Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.996$90.64
05-18 07:43Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.997$91.00
05-18 07:41Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.9929999999$50.00
04-23 04:54Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL0.998$207.00