bdamike-
0x58eceaea658f5d04ea1eae2c51b3becd7d45144c
- Realised P&L
- $86.01
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $61.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.205 | $25.31 | −$0.62 |
| Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.235 | $23.50 | +$3.50 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? · Yes | 0.235 | 0.211 | $9.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Cameron Carr win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.002 | $3.58 | −$16.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$93.01at 0.161Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$6.95at 0.592Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 23:49 | Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.2099999944 | $25.93 |
| 07-29 19:18 | Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 07-29 19:17 | Will Cameron Carr win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.0083860201 | $20.00 |
| 07-24 17:35 | Will the Philadelphia 76ers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? | BUY | 0.2349427414 | $10.00 |
| 07-24 17:19 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.999 | $17.07 |
| 07-24 17:18 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.997 | $110.94 |
| 07-04 18:08 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.1569999929 | $17.47 |
| 07-04 18:08 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.5849999789 | $10.00 |