Minecraftboy22
0x58e1cc79a118abab0d93161fa7984dd2297ff652
- Realised P&L
- $2.3k
- Volume
- $41.1k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No | 0.217 | 0.825 | $1.5k | +$1.1k |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.754 | 0.915 | $1.0k | +$181.72 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No | 0.590 | 0.415 | $211.02 | −$88.98 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · No | 0.790 | 0.870 | $39.65 | +$3.65 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027? · No | 0.270 | 0.345 | $6.39 | +$1.39 |
| South Alabama vs. Tulane · South Alabama | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$250.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$301.50 |
| Alabama vs. Kentucky · Kentucky | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$234.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$669.12at 0.430Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
- +$560.62at 0.300Colorado vs. Georgia Tech
- +$416.69at 0.582North Carolina vs. TCU
- +$340.03at 0.542Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$268.84at 0.512Idaho State vs. Utah State
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 20:56 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.5899999992 | $300.00 |
| 09-13 01:06 | South Alabama vs. Tulane | BUY | 0.4599999999 | $250.00 |
| 09-12 22:10 | Arizona vs. BYU | SELL | 0.21 | $153.66 |
| 09-12 21:52 | Alabama vs. Kentucky | BUY | 0.4398122379 | $234.24 |
| 09-12 21:36 | Arizona vs. BYU | BUY | 0.4099999995 | $300.00 |
| 09-12 21:35 | Alabama vs. Kentucky | SELL | 0.59 | $272.30 |
| 09-12 21:28 | Oregon vs. Oklahoma State | SELL | 0.999 | $244.14 |
| 09-12 21:01 | Alabama vs. Kentucky | BUY | 0.6499999994 | $300.00 |
| 09-12 21:00 | Oregon vs. Oklahoma State | BUY | 0.8089999955 | $100.00 |
| 09-12 20:57 | Oregon vs. Oklahoma State | BUY | 0.827999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-08 04:41 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.269999993 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 02:44 | Idaho State vs. Utah State | SELL | 0.999 | $551.11 |
| 09-06 01:19 | Idaho State vs. Utah State | BUY | 0.4991298989 | $275.35 |
| 09-04 02:40 | Colorado vs. Georgia Tech | SELL | 0.27 | $229.50 |
| 09-04 02:12 | Colorado vs. Georgia Tech | BUY | 0.29 | $493.00 |