0x58e0e195bce2ca12b3b0a863fe92809373c0d5c4
0x58e0e195bce2ca12b3b0a863fe92809373c0d5c4
- Realised P&L
- $22.38
- Volume
- $387.08
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $13.47
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 27, 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.420 | $3.70 | +$1.41 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.925 | $3.07 | +$0.78 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.200 | $1.83 | −$0.46 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.978 | $1.74 | +$0.35 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.550 | $1.66 | −$0.63 |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.375 | $1.30 | −$0.99 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No | 0.370 | 0.021 | $0.13 | −$2.16 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.015 | $0.04 | −$1.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.18at 0.247Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$6.80at 0.258Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$5.89at 0.280US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$5.79at 0.289Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in August?
- +$4.38at 0.349Will Milo Yiannopoulos be deported by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 22:31 | Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999796 | $2.29 |
| 09-21 14:30 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.29 |
| 09-21 06:07 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999541 | $2.29 |
| 09-21 06:04 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999942 | $2.29 |
| 09-20 22:01 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999734 | $2.29 |
| 09-20 21:48 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999126 | $2.29 |
| 09-19 07:34 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3699999515 | $2.29 |
| 09-18 03:24 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.5299999653 | $2.29 |
| 09-17 17:30 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.349999934 | $1.06 |
| 09-17 02:14 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.39 |
| 09-15 18:06 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.29 |
| 09-15 09:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999541 | $2.29 |
| 09-15 09:44 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999659 | $2.29 |
| 09-15 01:37 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999981 | $2.29 |
| 09-14 05:35 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999659 | $2.29 |