0x58e0e195bce2ca12b3b0a863fe92809373c0d5c4
- Realised P&L
- $2.23
- Volume
- $32.72
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $22.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration21.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.670 | $4.87 | +$0.29 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · No | 0.538 | 0.998 | $4.25 | +$1.96 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026? · No | 0.590 | 0.705 | $2.74 | +$0.45 |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.935 | $2.71 | +$0.42 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 4? · Up | 0.720 | 0.815 | $2.59 | +$0.30 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.625 | $2.43 | +$0.14 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.825 | $2.36 | +$0.07 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.230 | $1.03 | −$1.26 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 04:14 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.7199999497 | $2.29 |
| 08-03 20:11 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.29 |
| 08-03 10:48 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999759 | $2.29 |
| 08-03 02:46 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998998 | $2.29 |
| 08-02 17:18 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.5379999643 | $2.29 |
| 08-02 07:38 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.5899999304 | $2.29 |
| 08-01 23:29 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999304 | $2.29 |
| 08-01 13:58 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999065 | $2.29 |
| 08-01 13:51 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999065 | $2.29 |