PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x58e0e195bce2ca12b3b0a863fe92809373c0d5c4

Realised P&L
$2.23
Volume
$32.72
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$22.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration21.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.6300.670$4.87+$0.29
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · No0.5380.998$4.25+$1.96
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026? · No0.5900.705$2.74+$0.45
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of August 3 2026? · No0.7900.935$2.71+$0.42
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 4? · Up0.7200.815$2.59+$0.30
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.5900.625$2.43+$0.14
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes0.8000.825$2.36+$0.07
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.5100.230$1.03$1.26

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 04:14SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 4?BUY0.7199999497$2.29
08-03 20:11Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.8$2.29
08-03 10:48Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.7899999759$2.29
08-03 02:46Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.5099998998$2.29
08-02 17:18Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.5379999643$2.29
08-02 07:38US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.5899999304$2.29
08-01 23:29Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026?BUY0.5899999304$2.29
08-01 13:58Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.6299999065$2.29
08-01 13:51Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.6299999065$2.29