0x87AD
0x58d7b1c9c4c67647d195145aa834b5dece0d0dd9
- Realised P&L
- $-245.44
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $182.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No | 0.610 | 0.885 | $145.08 | +$45.08 |
| Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? · Yes | 0.528 | 0.195 | $36.96 | −$63.04 |
| Pavel Durov released in August? · No | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$118.43 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes | 0.146 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$127.87 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$121.58at 0.475Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 03:32 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.6099999985 | $100.00 |
| 03-23 19:06 | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | BUY | 0.5276256844 | $100.00 |
| 12-23 19:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.1463356196 | $127.87 |
| 12-23 19:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025? | SELL | 0.1394746842 | $127.87 |
| 12-19 20:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.2525900052 | $231.58 |
| 09-23 12:56 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.4749999985 | $110.00 |
| 08-27 18:08 | Pavel Durov released in August? | BUY | 0.6899999988 | $118.43 |