0x58d6C2be5aE863B4A644008eea9de0E0839B40E6-1781971185010
0x58d6c2be5ae863b4a644008eea9de0e0839b40e6
- Realised P&L
- $153.86
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $29.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs · Natus Vincere | 0.350 | 0.345 | $14.78 | −$0.21 |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs · Top Esports | 0.430 | 0.445 | $11.80 | +$0.40 |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? · Yes | 0.176 | 0.211 | $2.40 | +$0.40 |
| Counter-Strike: Rush vs Grêmio Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #3 Playoffs · Grêmio Esports | 0.510 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$20.56 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$79.79at 0.600CR Flamengo vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5
- +$73.86at 0.209Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians
- +$60.00at 0.600Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 2.5
- +$29.04at 0.372Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
- +$16.79at 0.402LoL: BIG vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational EMEA Qualifier Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 05:06 | Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.12 | $21.82 |
| 09-16 05:02 | Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | SELL | 0.89 | $50.85 |
| 09-16 02:58 | Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.3591249562 | $20.52 |
| 09-16 02:33 | Counter-Strike: Rush vs Grêmio Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #3 Playoffs | BUY | 0.51 | $17.85 |
| 09-16 01:32 | Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians | SELL | 0.99 | $94.28 |
| 09-16 01:30 | Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.2 | $19.05 |
| 09-15 18:56 | Southend United FC vs. Tamworth FC: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.3717979144 | $10.34 |
| 09-15 18:56 | Southend United FC vs. Tamworth FC: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.36 | $12.85 |
| 09-15 18:56 | Southend United FC vs. Tamworth FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.4099999943 | $26.04 |
| 09-15 00:32 | LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs | BUY | 0.35 | $15.00 |
| 09-15 00:31 | LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs | SELL | 0.42 | $3.52 |
| 09-15 00:07 | LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs | BUY | 0.43 | $15.00 |
| 09-14 23:14 | Will América FC win on 2026-09-14? | SELL | 0.68 | $7.28 |
| 09-14 23:13 | Will América FC win on 2026-09-14? | SELL | 0.666276704 | $6.55 |
| 09-14 23:13 | Will América FC win on 2026-09-14? | BUY | 0.7 | $14.38 |