tangshijinyishou
0x58d4f3be1fd0ed1f7691d1453ac98b9657946551
- Realised P&L
- $-4.52
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $101.51
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.335 | $55.27 | +$0.83 |
| Will Northern Ireland vs. Hungary end in a draw? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.395 | $33.58 | +$5.53 |
| Will Romania vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.090 | $7.65 | −$17.00 |
| Will Romania win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.035 | $5.01 | −$51.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.21at 0.331Will Spain vs. DPR Korea end in a draw?
- +$52.79at 0.371Will Gibraltar vs. Andorra end in a draw?
- +$-56.05at 0.259Will Gibraltar win on 2026-09-27?
- +$-57.47at 0.383Will DPR Korea win on 2026-09-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 15:58 | Will Romania win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.4 | $56.40 |
| 09-28 15:56 | Will Romania vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.29 | $24.65 |
| 09-28 15:45 | Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.33 | $54.45 |
| 09-28 15:44 | Will Northern Ireland vs. Hungary end in a draw? | BUY | 0.33 | $28.05 |
| 09-27 15:39 | Will DPR Korea win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.38 | $15.20 |
| 09-27 15:38 | Will Spain vs. DPR Korea end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $26.88 |
| 09-27 12:50 | Will Gibraltar win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.25 | $23.89 |
| 09-27 12:48 | Will Gibraltar win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.25 | $30.13 |
| 09-27 12:47 | Will Gibraltar vs. Andorra end in a draw? | BUY | 0.36 | $30.24 |