ravoly
0x58d173cce0410fd91501d3973a310a582fea7f5a
- Realised P&L
- $-74.74
- Volume
- $16.9k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $381.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration84.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.639 | 0.635 | $320.84 | −$2.05 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.265 | $60.95 | −$5.75 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$74.74 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 11:07 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.64 | $144.13 |
| 11-01 11:07 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.64 | $100.00 |
| 10-30 11:14 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $20.14 |
| 10-30 11:13 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.64 | $64.00 |
| 01-11 13:50 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.10 |
| 01-11 13:46 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.0043925442 | $55.00 |