Laohan-hunk
0x58cfe2f7e91aa4670cc708d1695864fb7ff58a72
- Realised P&L
- $-156.13
- Volume
- $41.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,151
- Open portfolio
- $126.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,151
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.90at 0.662Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
- +$18.68at 0.832Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
- +$18.24at 0.516Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
- +$18.00at 0.742Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
- +$10.48at 0.736Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 14:24 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.416 | $4.16 |
| 09-16 14:12 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 09-16 10:52 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $9.10 |
| 09-15 17:26 | Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.79 |
| 09-15 17:22 | Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-15 17:17 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-15 02:46 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 09-14 14:32 | Will White House post 200+ posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.631 | $3.79 |
| 09-14 03:37 | Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.59 | $5.65 |
| 09-13 18:57 | Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $6.16 |
| 09-13 09:15 | Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $3.60 |
| 09-13 04:35 | Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $7.20 |
| 09-12 17:12 | Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $7.50 |
| 09-11 18:23 | Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $24.44 |
| 09-11 09:26 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $5.82 |