Laohan-hunk
0x58cfe2f7e91aa4670cc708d1695864fb7ff58a72
- Realised P&L
- $-272.08
- Volume
- $38.5k
- Markets traded
- 961
- Open portfolio
- $79.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded961
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.90at 0.662Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
- +$18.68at 0.832Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
- +$10.40at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
- +$8.40at 0.831Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
- +$7.00at 0.900Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 06:02 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $9.10 |
| 08-01 12:13 | Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $3.96 |
| 07-31 02:23 | Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $6.60 |
| 07-31 02:23 | Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $9.20 |
| 07-29 15:26 | Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 07-28 15:12 | Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.995699 | $9.96 |
| 07-28 15:11 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $9.96 |
| 07-28 15:08 | Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 07-25 17:48 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 07-25 03:25 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.957 | $9.57 |
| 07-25 03:21 | Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $2.30 |
| 07-23 08:35 | Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 07-21 22:26 | Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 07-21 08:42 | Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 07-18 17:11 | Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.54 | $5.40 |