0x58c7c11299dca70c1d8452b3a0bed0eb7d9348fc
- Realised P&L
- $8.80
- Volume
- $104.98
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $16.30
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.999 | $2.63 | +$0.63 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No | 0.670 | 0.815 | $2.43 | +$0.43 |
| Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.285 | $2.37 | +$0.37 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.450 | $2.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.655 | $1.87 | −$0.13 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 3? · Down | 0.190 | 0.165 | $1.74 | −$0.26 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No | 0.630 | 0.525 | $1.67 | −$0.33 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No | 0.510 | 0.395 | $1.51 | −$0.44 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · No | 0.360 | 0.009 | $0.05 | −$1.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.83at 0.390Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
- +$1.53at 0.500Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $150 Week of July 20 2026?
- +$1.47at 0.520Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?
- +$1.28at 0.580Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?
- +$1.22at 0.600Visa (V) Q2 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5%-9.5%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 08:39 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.1899999373 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 00:22 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999181 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 16:19 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 06:57 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999296 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 22:55 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 22:41 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.7599998024 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 13:09 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | BUY | 0.3599999208 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 04:47 | Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.699999755 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 20:45 | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.91 |
| 07-31 12:43 | New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 07-30 08:03 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |
| 07-29 09:34 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5019999626 | $1.53 |
| 07-28 19:34 | Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.5199998953 | $1.59 |
| 07-28 03:38 | Another pandemic before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-27 14:32 | Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.17 |