PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x58c7c11299dca70c1d8452b3a0bed0eb7d9348fc

Realised P&L
$8.80
Volume
$104.98
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$16.30

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar8.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.7600.999$2.63+$0.63
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.6700.815$2.43+$0.43
Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July? · Yes0.2400.285$2.37+$0.37
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · Yes0.4400.450$2.05+$0.05
Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.7000.655$1.87$0.13
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 3? · Down0.1900.165$1.74$0.26
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.6300.525$1.67$0.33
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.5100.395$1.51$0.44
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · No0.3600.009$0.05$1.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 08:39S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 3?BUY0.1899999373$2.00
08-03 00:22Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.6299999181$2.00
08-02 16:19Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?BUY0.2399999184$2.00
08-02 06:57Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.4399999296$2.00
08-01 22:55Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.6699999196$2.00
08-01 22:41Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.7599998024$2.00
08-01 13:09Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.3599999208$2.00
08-01 04:47Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.699999755$2.00
07-31 20:45New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.91
07-31 12:43New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$2.00
07-30 08:03Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-29 09:34Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.5019999626$1.53
07-28 19:34Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?BUY0.5199998953$1.59
07-28 03:38Another pandemic before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-27 14:32Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.39$1.17