0x8Aa9024549BA3BaAAaf581Ed5E55f69c113D3AF8-1761149258834
0x58c4c33e9690643460af8260dec11d19386bc777
- Realised P&L
- $160.87
- Volume
- $26.0k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $206.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Digger win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · No | 0.940 | 0.910 | $159.25 | −$5.25 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in August? · No | 0.498 | 0.160 | $38.76 | −$81.92 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in August? · No | 0.415 | 0.100 | $8.50 | −$26.79 |
| Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals · No | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$392.00 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 in July? · No | 0.539 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.10 |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.54 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance · Croatia | 0.301 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.20 |
| Norway vs. England: Team to Advance · Norway | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.00 |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score · No | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.00 |
| Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-08-05? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$377.99at 0.513Set Handicap: Darderi (-1.5) vs Martinez (+1.5)
- +$183.18at 0.174Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$159.06at 0.680Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Djokovic (+1.5)
- +$132.97at 0.621Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
- +$127.50at 0.490France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 17:36 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in August? | SELL | 0.1848305475 | $24.11 |
| 08-04 22:38 | Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.1099999932 | $14.00 |
| 08-04 22:38 | Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.71 | $75.00 |
| 08-04 20:53 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in August? | BUY | 0.41 | $16.81 |
| 08-04 20:18 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in August? | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 08-04 20:13 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in August? | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 08-04 20:08 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in August? | BUY | 0.5 | $67.00 |
| 08-04 20:08 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in August? | BUY | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 08-04 20:06 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in August? | BUY | 0.48 | $13.75 |
| 08-01 22:29 | Will Digger win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.94 | $164.50 |
| 07-29 19:19 | Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Nishikori (+1.5) | BUY | 0.5996835443 | $94.75 |
| 07-26 18:19 | Will FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc win on 2026-07-25? | SELL | 0.0019075159 | $0.91 |
| 07-25 17:56 | Will FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc win on 2026-07-25? | BUY | 0.2099999984 | $100.00 |
| 07-23 16:16 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $380 in July? | BUY | 0.99 | $12.87 |
| 07-23 15:27 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $290 in July? | BUY | 0.89 | $16.02 |