0x58c4a1f319297ec9c398a0f3a3b64af5a18b5c35
0x58c4a1f319297ec9c398a0f3a3b64af5a18b5c35
- Realised P&L
- $0.53
- Volume
- $14.79
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $2.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year? · Yes | 0.660 | 1.000 | $1.53 | +$0.52 |
| Will the DEFIANCE Act become law this year? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.304 | $0.99 | −$2.04 |
| Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.105 | $0.13 | −$0.88 |
| Will the SELF DRIVE Act become law this year? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.036 | $0.04 | −$0.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.02at 0.997Trump out as President by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 06:34 | Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.01 |
| 05-05 05:24 | Will the SELF DRIVE Act become law this year? | BUY | 0.8299999014 | $1.01 |
| 05-05 05:15 | Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year? | BUY | 0.6599997909 | $1.01 |
| 05-05 04:19 | Will the DEFIANCE Act become law this year? | BUY | 0.9099999279 | $1.01 |
| 05-04 14:14 | Will the DEFIANCE Act become law this year? | BUY | 0.9399999628 | $1.01 |
| 05-04 09:32 | Will the DEFIANCE Act become law this year? | BUY | 0.9399999628 | $1.01 |
| 03-26 04:11 | Trump out as President by March 31? | BUY | 0.997999508 | $2.00 |
| 03-26 02:14 | Trump out as President by March 31? | BUY | 0.9979993413 | $1.50 |
| 03-25 13:23 | Trump out as President by March 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $2.00 |
| 03-25 12:53 | Trump out as President by March 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $2.00 |