asdafsr
0x58beef234371c0d74919d8802ccff1d30aa2b8f8
- Realised P&L
- $3.83
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $54.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August? · No | 0.996 | 1.000 | $25.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · No | 0.920 | 1.000 | $14.13 | +$1.13 |
| Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes | 0.948 | 0.974 | $13.75 | +$0.36 |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026? · Yes | 0.970 | 0.967 | $1.99 | −$0.01 |
| Penguins vs. Maple Leafs · Penguins | 0.970 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will DICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.961 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.30at 0.960Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
- +$1.57at 0.690Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$0.95at 0.810Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
- +$0.91at 0.840Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$0.41at 0.996Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 21:52 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August? | SELL | 0.8940233074 | $24.17 |
| 08-08 06:03 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August? | BUY | 0.996 | $25.00 |
| 08-08 06:03 | Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | BUY | 0.96 | $3.00 |
| 08-08 06:02 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $13.00 |
| 08-08 06:02 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August? | BUY | 0.996 | $8.00 |
| 07-29 05:17 | Will Carlos Alcaraz Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026? | BUY | 0.9699999951 | $2.00 |
| 06-22 04:28 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.9689999971 | $5.00 |
| 06-22 04:26 | Will Solana reach $160 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $65.00 |
| 06-22 04:26 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.9869999991 | $4.31 |
| 06-22 04:23 | Grass Court Championships (Doubles): Alexandrova/Noskova vs Eikeri/Gleason | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 06-22 04:22 | Will France win on 2026-06-22? | SELL | 0.9 | $2.47 |
| 06-22 04:21 | Will France win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.9099999854 | $2.50 |
| 04-19 03:08 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? | BUY | 0.9989999915 | $104.98 |
| 04-19 03:05 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $2.00 |
| 04-19 03:03 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.7899999921 | $1.00 |