PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Guipolitcs

0x58b7274a338b0143c4916e87a97365288a4f5534

Realised P&L
$-103.63
Volume
$9.1k
Markets traded
82
Open portfolio
$168.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded82
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)67.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · No0.6590.925$70.22+$20.22
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.4900.935$36.26+$17.26
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30? · Yes0.3701.000$27.03+$17.03
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 · Yes0.1300.235$18.08+$8.08
Will Elon register any party before 2027? · Yes0.1890.105$7.80$6.18
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2800.075$3.75$10.25
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1900.065$3.39$6.61
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? · Yes0.0320.021$1.29$0.71
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0240.001$0.41$19.59
Will Trump say "Davos" or "World Economic Forum" during Iowa speech? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$20.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$11.00
Will Trump say "China" or "Russia" 15+ times during Iowa speech? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$10.00
Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during the State of the Union address? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$10.00
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? · Yes0.0990.000$0.00$10.00
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-13 23:07Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco?BUY0.25$3.00
06-13 23:06Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco?BUY0.125$5.00
06-13 23:05Endrick: 1+ goalsBUY0.699999993$10.00
06-13 23:02US strike on Cuba by December 31?SELL0.4209276438$45.38
04-18 23:04UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims)BUY0.419999982$6.76
04-18 01:03Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0241831886$20.00
04-14 02:46Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?BUY0.2599999824$8.00
04-14 02:44Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?BUY0.0375772567$2.00
04-14 02:44Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?BUY0.299999982$10.00
04-14 02:36China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.152100105$21.73
03-25 10:07US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?BUY0.3799999909$12.50
03-25 10:06US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?SELL0.2$6.52
03-25 10:06Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.089$5.98
03-24 00:48US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.35$37.73
03-24 00:44Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.3399999912$20.00