Guipolitcs
0x58b7274a338b0143c4916e87a97365288a4f5534
- Realised P&L
- $-103.63
- Volume
- $9.1k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $168.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)67.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$98.67at 0.069Will Trump visit China by March 31?
- +$47.83at 0.230US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$47.62at 0.277Will Trump visit China by March 31?
- +$31.83at 0.290US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$29.84at 0.371Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-13 23:07 | Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? | BUY | 0.25 | $3.00 |
| 06-13 23:06 | Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? | BUY | 0.125 | $5.00 |
| 06-13 23:05 | Endrick: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 06-13 23:02 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.4209276438 | $45.38 |
| 04-18 23:04 | UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.419999982 | $6.76 |
| 04-18 01:03 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0241831886 | $20.00 |
| 04-14 02:46 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31? | BUY | 0.2599999824 | $8.00 |
| 04-14 02:44 | Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30? | BUY | 0.0375772567 | $2.00 |
| 04-14 02:44 | Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.299999982 | $10.00 |
| 04-14 02:36 | China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.152100105 | $21.73 |
| 03-25 10:07 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | BUY | 0.3799999909 | $12.50 |
| 03-25 10:06 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | SELL | 0.2 | $6.52 |
| 03-25 10:06 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.089 | $5.98 |
| 03-24 00:48 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.35 | $37.73 |
| 03-24 00:44 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.3399999912 | $20.00 |