simsit
0x58b669eb33b82e1b544d0d71f06e6b16a51859ef
- Realised P&L
- $-136.27
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $267.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration35.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V? · No | 0.776 | 0.855 | $172.36 | +$15.91 |
| Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? · Yes | 0.156 | 0.155 | $43.25 | −$0.25 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.117 | $35.10 | +$29.10 |
| Will Netanyahu say "Iran" or "Lebanon" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · Yes | 0.647 | 0.853 | $17.06 | +$4.12 |
| Will JD Vance say "Greenland" during his rally in North Carolina? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.005 | $0.03 | −$1.23 |
| Will JD Vance say "Sanctuary" during his rally in North Carolina? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$3.18 |
| Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.708 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$187.57 |
| Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.673 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$92.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$72.92at 0.237Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?
- +$69.07at 0.329Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- +$64.94at 0.262Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- +$-59.35at 0.578Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 07:59 | Will JD Vance say "Sanctuary" during his rally in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.29 | $3.19 |
| 09-20 20:29 | Will Netanyahu say "Iran" or "Lebanon" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.647 | $12.94 |
| 09-20 12:37 | Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V? | BUY | 0.79 | $47.51 |
| 09-20 12:35 | Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V? | BUY | 0.77 | $106.89 |
| 09-20 12:34 | Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.16 | $26.32 |
| 09-20 12:34 | Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 09-20 12:34 | Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.15 | $14.18 |
| 09-05 12:26 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.18 | $6.84 |
| 09-05 12:26 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.76 | $28.88 |
| 09-02 08:48 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 09-02 08:35 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 09-02 08:35 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M? | BUY | 0.23 | $6.39 |
| 09-02 08:35 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M? | BUY | 0.23 | $6.39 |
| 09-02 08:35 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.71 | $170.39 |
| 08-27 11:52 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M? | BUY | 0.56 | $18.37 |