PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

simsit

0x58b669eb33b82e1b544d0d71f06e6b16a51859ef

Realised P&L
$-136.27
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$267.80

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration35.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 07:59Will JD Vance say "Sanctuary" during his rally in North Carolina?BUY0.29$3.19
09-20 20:29Will Netanyahu say "Iran" or "Lebanon" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?BUY0.647$12.94
09-20 12:37Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V?BUY0.79$47.51
09-20 12:35Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V?BUY0.77$106.89
09-20 12:34Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?BUY0.16$26.32
09-20 12:34Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?BUY0.15$3.00
09-20 12:34Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?BUY0.15$14.18
09-05 12:26Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.18$6.84
09-05 12:26Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.76$28.88
09-02 08:48Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?BUY0.23$4.60
09-02 08:35Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?BUY0.23$4.60
09-02 08:35Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?BUY0.23$6.39
09-02 08:35Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?BUY0.23$6.39
09-02 08:35Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.71$170.39
08-27 11:52Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?BUY0.56$18.37