PolyBot

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Traders

48MGX75VLQ

0x58b55115f22fa7f3df9db9b361f573088723df91

Realised P&L
$-744.98
Volume
$279.8k
Markets traded
219
Open portfolio
$989.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded219
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8810.959$306.72+$24.72
Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027? · No0.9490.962$230.90+$2.96
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9770.977$166.00−$0.01
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027? · No0.9100.915$91.50+$0.50
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9870.987$49.35−$0.03
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? · No0.9790.981$49.09+$0.10
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? · No0.9200.915$45.90−$0.25
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.645$32.25+$7.25
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.355$17.75−$7.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 08:37Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?BUY0.92$46.15
10-12 08:36Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.987$49.38
10-12 08:35Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?BUY0.979$48.99
10-12 08:35Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.978$48.90
10-12 08:34Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?BUY0.9772399259$21.10
10-12 08:33Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?BUY0.9786291708$48.98
09-11 12:52Will "The Fix" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.998$5.78
02-11 15:24Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?BUY0.9630133316$75.12
01-05 07:13Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?BUY0.92$27.60
12-05 08:46Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2025?BUY0.99$99.00
12-05 08:44Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?SELL0.981$203.66
12-05 08:40Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy EditionSELL0.9873138763$139.88
12-03 11:27Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?BUY0.98$196.00
12-03 11:21Trump x Khamenei talk in 2025? BUY0.98$98.00
07-02 18:09Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?SELL0.29$5.80