PolyBot

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Traders

timetowander

0x58b3380f71bd6c706dd398a5e60bde55fa3a653c

Realised P&L
$151.6k
Volume
$95.99M
Markets traded
1,407
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,407
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration81.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0300.001$125.87$7.5k
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0300.001$125.87$7.5k
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0300.001$125.87$7.5k
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0300.001$125.87$7.5k
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0300.001$125.87$7.5k
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0300.001$125.87$7.5k
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0300.001$125.87$7.5k
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 18? · Yes0.0490.024$105.75$114.75
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0300.001$100.57$6.0k
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0300.001$39.70$2.3k
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 18? · No0.0530.004$16.51$232.75
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0230.001$12.51$553.15
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0240.001$3.53$166.22
Will Donna Vekic win the 2026 Women’s US Open? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$166.57
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 17? · No0.0120.000$0.00$52.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 19:50Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.44$589.35
09-16 19:39Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.003$25.98
09-16 19:39Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.006$30.00
09-16 19:34Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.51$3.2k
09-16 17:58Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.004973784$99.48
09-16 17:18Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 18?BUY0.0528480793$249.26
09-16 17:18Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 18?BUY0.049$220.50
09-16 16:52Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.001$19.47
09-16 16:52Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.008$69.27
09-16 16:52Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.88$3.6k
09-16 16:04Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.007$326.05
09-16 16:04Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.001$46.58
09-16 15:21Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.89$21.2k
09-16 14:52Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.008$0.82
09-16 14:40Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.89$25.6k