0x58...c5CE
0x58a34d556ac676b6aa1a7d5a8cbb169b99fec5ce
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $266.1k
- Markets traded
- 547
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded547
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$939.71at 0.358Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 20?
- +$366.84at 0.729Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 27?
- +$363.13at 0.477Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 9?
- +$349.60at 0.333Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 8?
- +$310.62at 0.502Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 15:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.9890497738 | $54.65 |
| 09-26 15:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.9466666667 | $28.40 |
| 09-26 15:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.9473432222 | $129.01 |
| 09-26 15:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.86 | $9.14 |
| 09-26 08:13 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.999 | $486.51 |
| 09-26 07:30 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.9898412698 | $374.16 |
| 09-26 06:17 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.36 |
| 09-26 04:12 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.999 | $409.59 |
| 09-25 15:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.96 | $38.40 |
| 09-25 15:28 | Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.96 | $96.00 |
| 09-25 15:26 | Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.96 | $101.93 |
| 09-25 15:26 | Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.96 | $121.42 |
| 09-25 15:25 | Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.96 | $121.42 |
| 09-25 15:24 | Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.96 | $135.23 |
| 09-25 15:21 | Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.95 | $276.32 |