backhome188
0x589e973cae551580aaf97e22fc92da9403c2421c
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $125.0k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $7.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.567 | 0.560 | $7.7k | −$94.33 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET · Down | 0.383 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$81.94 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET · Up | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$234.36 |
| Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.465 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$596.09 |
| Philadelphia Union vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$385.91 |
| Philadelphia Union vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.142 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$191.31 |
| France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$166.27 |
| Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 0.5 · Under | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.97 |
| Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.15 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.489 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$518.06 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET · Down | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$566.51 |
| Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$122.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$781.88at 0.272Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
- +$632.54at 0.389Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 1.5
- +$359.47at 0.577Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
- +$227.04at 0.674Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
- +$164.12at 0.175Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-27 14:45 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.647 | $194.10 |
| 08-23 14:55 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6149999786 | $26.43 |
| 08-23 14:49 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6159999944 | $34.26 |
| 08-23 14:45 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6140586972 | $2.8k |
| 08-20 11:44 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6269999327 | $8.81 |
| 08-20 11:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.1801850063 | $234.36 |
| 08-16 23:35 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6069999919 | $13.31 |
| 08-16 14:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | BUY | 0.3834780981 | $81.94 |
| 08-16 12:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.2556414795 | $274.38 |
| 08-16 03:21 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6146837775 | $1.5k |
| 08-14 07:03 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.58686428 | $1.5k |
| 08-14 06:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | BUY | 0.3592449385 | $382.51 |
| 08-13 00:55 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.5956663104 | $1.5k |
| 08-10 22:41 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.574 | $1.1k |
| 08-09 23:53 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.5859999946 | $22.31 |