dtgh
0x589e04ed1dadaa73fd5186268f81a33e5aba2537
- Realised P&L
- $3.05
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $4.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.46at 0.670Magic vs. Rockets
- +$5.15at 0.650Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026?
- +$2.10at 0.589Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
- +$1.00at 0.500Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?
- +$0.34at 0.967Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 10:46 | Will StripChain launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 14:21 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 05-29 08:06 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.9369997583 | $1.00 |
| 04-25 12:04 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 03-05 07:28 | Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 03-04 11:49 | Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 03-03 15:05 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 03-03 15:03 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.884 | $2.01 |
| 03-03 15:03 | Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026? | SELL | 0.965 | $1.12 |
| 02-28 08:55 | Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026? | BUY | 0.8599995356 | $1.00 |
| 02-26 12:59 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199995392 | $1.00 |
| 02-09 04:10 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.8799996128 | $2.00 |
| 02-04 01:07 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.985 | $15.14 |
| 02-02 14:20 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.6502783289 | $10.00 |
| 01-08 08:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5799999265 | $2.91 |