PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dtgh

0x589e04ed1dadaa73fd5186268f81a33e5aba2537

Realised P&L
$3.05
Volume
$1.5k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$4.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? · Yes0.3400.835$2.46+$1.46
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9370.985$1.05+$0.05
Will StripChain launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0000.330$0.39+$0.39
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.0900.025$0.12−$0.33
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 26, 2026? · No0.7200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8? · No0.0190.000$0.00−$0.19
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 23? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$0.17
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$1.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · No0.7400.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 30? · Yes0.6700.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 24? · No0.0220.000$0.00−$0.11
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on March 16? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$0.15
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? · No0.2800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$0.20
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026? · No0.0700.000$0.00−$0.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 10:46Will StripChain launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.84$1.00
07-31 14:21Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?BUY0.33999983$1.00
05-29 08:06Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.9369997583$1.00
04-25 12:04Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
03-05 07:28Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
03-04 11:49Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?BUY0.5$1.00
03-03 15:05Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY0.2799998432$1.00
03-03 15:03Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.884$2.01
03-03 15:03Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?SELL0.965$1.12
02-28 08:55Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?BUY0.8599995356$1.00
02-26 12:59Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 26, 2026?BUY0.7199995392$1.00
02-09 04:10Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.8799996128$2.00
02-04 01:07Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026?SELL0.985$15.14
02-02 14:20Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026?BUY0.6502783289$10.00
01-08 08:30Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETBUY0.5799999265$2.91