0x589b6c2a22dc8da85ca87b2c4f0d4ba4995bf4e2
0x589b6c2a22dc8da85ca87b2c4f0d4ba4995bf4e2
- Realised P&L
- $7.33
- Volume
- $458.14
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $89.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.79at 0.580Will PP win the most seats in Cuenca in the 2026 Spanish general election?
- +$1.79at 0.580Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?
- +$1.79at 0.780Will PSOE win the most seats in Catalonia in the 2026 Spanish general election?
- +$1.75at 0.480Will PSOE win the most seats in Santa Cruz de Tenerife in the 2026 Spanish general election?
- +$1.67at 0.570Will PSOE win the most seats in Huelva in the 2026 Spanish general election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:19 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 20%-25%? | BUY | 0.269999993 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 00:03 | Will PSOE win the most seats in Santa Cruz de Tenerife in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.4799999781 | $7.00 |
| 10-31 00:02 | Sweden snap election called in 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $8.55 |
| 10-28 19:43 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be 5,600,000 or more? | BUY | 0.8279999785 | $6.00 |
| 10-28 18:28 | Next Israeli government formed by February 28, 2027? | BUY | 0.21 | $2.10 |
| 10-28 16:19 | Will PSOE win the most seats in Seville in the 2026 Spanish general election? | SELL | 0.16 | $2.04 |
| 10-28 05:39 | Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999908 | $9.00 |
| 10-26 19:52 | Will the Republicans win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.94 |
| 10-26 09:31 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | BUY | 0.5449999534 | $5.90 |
| 10-26 01:29 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 10-25 15:26 | Will PP win the most seats in Cuenca in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $10.00 |
| 10-24 09:18 | Will Shas win less than 6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.5499999934 | $8.37 |
| 10-24 02:22 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | SELL | 0.37 | $4.87 |
| 10-24 02:21 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $5.00 |