goodmen
0x5897862790e18d6ed01e7784728eafc37cb8e5b6
- Realised P&L
- $-495.01
- Volume
- $38.1k
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $207.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum hit $3k by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.360 | $93.60 | −$93.60 |
| Will Ethereum hit $6k by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.976 | 0.971 | $47.38 | −$0.27 |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.345 | $27.60 | −$9.20 |
| Iran leadership change by October 31? · No | 0.977 | 0.971 | $19.41 | −$0.13 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $272 in October? · No | 0.970 | 0.969 | $19.37 | −$0.03 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.23 |
| Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $145 in August? · No | 0.000 | 0.000 | $0.00 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$72.67at 0.582Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?
- +$48.00at 0.500Supercopa Final: Real Madrid vs. Barcelona
- +$13.54at 0.620Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?
- +$4.51at 0.750Will China confirm trade negotiations have begun by next Friday?
- +$4.00at 0.270Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of EPL?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 04:00 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $272 in October? | BUY | 0.97 | $19.40 |
| 10-03 03:59 | Iran leadership change by October 31? | BUY | 0.977 | $19.54 |
| 09-26 12:22 | Will Ethereum hit $6k by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.976 | $47.65 |
| 09-26 12:16 | Will Ethereum hit $3k by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $187.20 |
| 09-26 12:09 | Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? | SELL | 0.87 | $225.83 |
| 09-01 07:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | BUY | 0.039 | $1.21 |
| 09-01 07:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | BUY | 0.039 | $4.02 |
| 08-07 12:35 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $145 in August? | BUY | 0.87 | $29.58 |
| 07-31 03:02 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.968 | $38.13 |
| 07-31 03:01 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $29.85 |
| 07-31 02:54 | IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31? | BUY | 0.964 | $4.82 |
| 07-31 02:54 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $14.85 |
| 07-01 12:19 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on July 2? | BUY | 0.997 | $86.74 |
| 05-06 03:22 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May? | BUY | 0.974 | $46.74 |
| 05-02 07:13 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on May 3? | BUY | 0.991 | $45.59 |