0xCe739F4Ef22120187fA204AAac41374bcB870B30-1768828027807
0x589554e5d5f6cbf69d64ff9709ab9020ea3aff38
- Realised P&L
- $-6.79
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $0.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Lockheed Martin Corporation? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.165 | $0.69 | −$0.31 |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026? · No | 0.058 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.18at 0.176Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.?
- +$-0.53at 0.316UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-02 21:07 | Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.88 |
| 06-02 21:07 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.29 | $4.67 |
| 05-21 19:49 | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-21 19:49 | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-21 16:16 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |
| 05-21 15:53 | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 05-21 15:53 | Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 05-21 15:53 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 05-21 15:49 | Will the US federal government take a stake in Lockheed Martin Corporation? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 05-21 15:49 | Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 05-21 15:43 | Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0575396295 | $1.00 |