stevenhunt
0x5889d7e162de91132f168ca0baf331169e138754
- Realised P&L
- $116.82
- Volume
- $11.9k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $40.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.875 | $27.20 | +$4.82 |
| Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the September meeting? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.959 | $13.57 | +$0.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$136.38at 0.270Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$94.75at 0.530Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?
- +$0.43at 0.890Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
- +$0.19at 0.977Will Trump Media invest in Bitcoin before March?
- +$0.16at 0.998Will the next government of Suriname be VHP/ABOP?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 05:45 | Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.8899999604 | $12.60 |
| 01-31 13:59 | Will Chainlink hit $15 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.28 |
| 01-31 13:43 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.27 |
| 01-30 15:09 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.68 |
| 01-30 14:36 | Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $23.04 |
| 01-30 13:03 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January? | BUY | 0.9979999869 | $41.78 |
| 12-30 10:44 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.31 |
| 12-29 23:18 | Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.15 |
| 12-29 22:06 | Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999199 | $9.25 |
| 12-29 21:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999471 | $17.08 |
| 12-29 20:01 | Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $54.35 |
| 10-30 22:01 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.35 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $28.28 |
| 10-30 20:07 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.88 |
| 10-30 17:17 | Will Solana reach $250 in October? | BUY | 0.998 | $34.57 |
| 09-29 12:17 | TikTok removed from App Store by September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.24 |