0x5888d078ebb94060ebeb6e0cdbb0b33285a3a056
0x5888d078ebb94060ebeb6e0cdbb0b33285a3a056
- Realised P&L
- $41.89
- Volume
- $96.81
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $26.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar43.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration43.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maple Leafs vs. Senators · Maple Leafs | 0.410 | 0.987 | $11.75 | +$6.87 |
| Set Handicap: Miomir Kecmanovic (-1.5) vs Nikoloz Basilashvili (+1.5) · Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0.500 | 0.620 | $4.92 | +$0.95 |
| Hangzhou Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Dalibor Svrcina · Rinky Hijikata | 0.500 | 0.415 | $4.83 | −$0.99 |
| Chengdu Open: James Duckworth vs Lorenzo Sonego · James Duckworth | 0.500 | 0.435 | $4.73 | −$0.71 |
| W50 Nanao: Natsumi Kawaguchi vs Sayaka Ishii · Natsumi Kawaguchi | 0.500 | 0.060 | $0.40 | −$2.93 |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.81 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.57at 0.300San Diego 2: Trevor Svajda vs Federico Agustin Gomez
- +$19.60at 0.290San Diego 2: Patrick Maloney vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
- +$4.53at 0.520St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5
- +$4.31at 0.500Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs
- +$0.59at 0.500Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 02:25 | Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar | SELL | 0.55 | $8.59 |
| 09-23 22:50 | Maple Leafs vs. Senators | BUY | 0.4099999664 | $4.88 |
| 09-23 18:46 | San Diego 2: Patrick Maloney vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | BUY | 0.2799999986 | $7.73 |