talkativeguy
0x588308b4e1e761c8d9e25042acafe21b6cf393bc
- Realised P&L
- $-245.96
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $6.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.030 | $6.76 | −$15.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.82at 0.820Will MrBeast's robot race video get between 55 and 60 million views on week 1?
- +$8.83at 0.940Will MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by December 31?
- +$4.76at 0.860Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by November 30?
- +$4.18at 0.695Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$2.06at 0.970Will MrBeast hit 102.5 billion views by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-09 19:11 | Will MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by December 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $138.30 |
| 12-09 19:08 | Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025? | SELL | 0.993 | $100.40 |
| 12-09 19:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025? | SELL | 0.84 | $24.18 |
| 12-09 19:07 | Will UNI reach $6.50 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9885533981 | $5.09 |
| 12-06 18:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 12-04 19:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.7899999866 | $10.00 |
| 12-02 15:46 | Solana all time high before 2026? | BUY | 0.0139677763 | $10.00 |
| 12-01 22:37 | Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025? | BUY | 0.9889999999 | $100.00 |
| 12-01 22:34 | Solana all time high before 2026? | BUY | 0.018627666 | $10.00 |
| 11-30 20:04 | US drops leaflets on Venezuela by November 30? | BUY | 0.991 | $97.50 |
| 11-30 19:59 | Will Israel strike 2 countries in November 2025? | BUY | 0.995 | $50.00 |
| 11-30 19:48 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by November 30? | SELL | 0.997 | $25.43 |
| 11-30 19:48 | Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by November 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $34.19 |
| 11-24 23:04 | Will MrBeast's robot race video get between 55 and 60 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.8199999991 | $72.06 |
| 11-24 23:00 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by November 30? | BUY | 0.98 | $25.00 |